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June 2010
2Q 2010 Senior Housing & Long-Term Care Market UpdateAustin Propst RUG-IV Interim Payment System to Be Implemented in October After the health care reform law pushed back the start of RUG-IV until October 1, 2011, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services now says that it will implement “interim” payments reflecting the MDS 3.0 and RUG-IV system beginning October 1, 2010, unless Congress is able to pass legislation repealing the delay. Sheila Lambowitz, director of the Division of Institutional Post Acute Care said, “The interim payment system is only an interim measure until an integrated payment system can be developed. Once that payment system is in place, any claims paid at the interim RUG-IV rates will be reprocessed using the RUG-III system as modified by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act [through September 30, 2011].” The full RUG-IV will be implemented permanently October 1, 2011. Source: McKnight’s LTC News & Assisted Living Recent Occupancy Rates (12/31/2009)
Note: Data is from stabilized properties (open 24+ Recent Loan Volume (12/31/2009)
Note: Data includes project financing placed to date by Sun Healthcare Group Plans to Separate Its Operations & Real Estate Holdings Sun Healthcare Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: SUNH), one of the largest skilled nursing operators in the country, announced on May 24 its plans to separate its operating subsidiaries and property assets into two publicly traded companies. The operating company will continue to provide nursing and rehabilitative care and will keep the Sun Healthcare Group name. The new entity will own substantially all of Sun’s currently owned properties and will operate as a real estate investment trust under the name Sabra Health Care REIT. William A. Mathies, chief operating officer of Sun, will become chief executive officer of the operating company, while current Sun CEO, Richard K. Matros, will become chairman and CEO of the REIT. The separation will be effected through a distribution of common stock to Sun stockholders and is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2010. New Report Finds More Than 10 Percent of GDP Will Be Spent on Medicare by 2083 According to a new report from the boards of trustees for Medicare and Social Security, 11.4 percent of gross domestic product will be spent on Medicare by 2083, nearly twice the amount spent on Social Security. Medicaid Expansion to Cost States Less Than Expected According to a study conducted by the Kaiser Family Foundation, the Medicaid enrollment expansion required under the health care reform law will cost states less than originally expected. From 2014 through 2019, $443.5 billion, or 95.4 percent of the cost of the Medicaid expansion, will be paid by the federal government. After 2020, the federal government’s portion will decrease to 90 percent. Public Comparables Skilled Nursing
Assisted/Independent Living
Note: LTM=Last Twelve Months; EV=Enterprise Value; EBITDAR=Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization and Rent
Historic Public Cap Rates
Recent Transactions Skilled Nursing
Assisted/Independent Living
Source: The SeniorCare Investor Recent Transaction Cap Rates (12/31/09)
Source: NIC-Seniors Housing & Care Industry Quarterly Transaction Volume
Source: Irving Levin For more information on the market update or related matters, please consult your BKD advisor. About BKD Corporate Finance, LLC
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